Time to reset the 4% inflation target?
A scenario where real wages rise slowly may mitigate the impact of inflation surpassing its target on economic growth. Sustaining an 8% growth rate will require a resurgence in both consumption and investment. Any decline in consumption could adversely affect investment, prompting the RBI to exercise caution in reducing interest rates until inflation aligns with or falls below the target. If the economy can maintain higher growth rates at lower inflation levels, there may be a need to reconsider the inflation target. Structural shifts in the economy indicate that achieving this goal is increasingly feasible in the near future.