Let’s Hope that Tariffs are Inflationary
David Henderson has an excellent post on the effect of tariffs on the price level. I agree with his analysis, but here I’ll reframe the debate in a way that I hope will also be helpful. Let’s begin with a few propositions:
1. Under the vast majority of policy regimes, the imposition of tariffs leads to a higher price level. These include the Fed’s current (asymmetrical) flexible average inflation targeting (FAIT) regime, but also the gold standard, money supply targeting, and nominal GDP targeting. Читать дальше...