Weekly Mortgage Rates Are Up, but Prices Are the Real Villain

This article was first published on NerdWallet.com.

Mortgage rates continued to rise for the week ending April 25. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.23% APR, up seven basis points from the previous week's average, according to rates provided to NerdWallet by Zillow. (A basis point is one one-hundredth of a percentage point.)

Rates for 30-year fixed-rate loans have been hovering in the general neighborhood of 7% for the past year-plus, causing considerable pain for home buyers. The rise of mortgage rates in recent years has drawn lots of attention — and ire. As buyers attempt to wrestle their way into affordable homes, it feels like interest rates are definitely the storyline villain. But are rates the actual villain?

Let's take a little journey back to the last time the U.S. was in a comparable rate environment, roughly winter 2000 to spring 2002. In April 2002, J. Lo is atop the charts. Tiger Woods is becoming the third golfer to win back-to-back Masters tournaments. “The Scorpion King,” starring Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson, is a hit at the box office. And interest rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages are at 7%.

Now, here we are, 22 years later. Jennifer Lopez's latest album came out in February. Tiger's playing in his 26th Masters. Dwayne Johnson hasn't been in any movies yet this year, but The Rock did main event WrestleMania. And 30-year fixed rates? Yeah, they're back at 7%.

With so much that's oddly the same, let's talk about why today's 7% rates hit...